Makoma uku da Syria za ta iya faɗawa ƙarƙashin gwamnatin ‘yantawaye 2024

A daidai lokacin da ƴan Syria da dama suke murnar kifar da gwamnatin Assad, har yanzu babu tabbas kan makomar ƙasar

Kawo ƙarshen mulkin iyalan Assad na gomman shekaru a Syria bayan ƙungiyoyi ƙarƙashin jagorancin Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) sun ƙwace iko da ƙasar, ya jawo tambayoyi game da makomar ƙasar.

Jagoran HTS, Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, ya yi alƙawarin haɗa kan Syria, amma ana fargaba tare da tambayar ko zai iya samun nasara.

Geir Pedersen, wakilin Majalisar Ɗinkin Duniya na musamman a Syria, ya nanata buƙatar haɗin kai tsakanin ƴanƙasar.

Ganin yadda abubuwa suke sauyawa a ƙasar, hasashen yadda makomar ƙasar za ta kasance zai yi wahalar gaske.

Amma BBC ta zanta da masana kuma sun kawo wasu makoma uku da suke ganin ƙasar za ta iya faɗawa a hannun sabuwar gwamnatin.

1. Haɗaɗɗiyar Syria

Abin da ake tunanin zai fi kyau shi ne HTS ta ba jam’iyyun siysasa damar shiga a dama da su a ƙasar.

Ƙasar za ta samu haɗin kai bayan daɗewa ana gwabza yaƙi, wanda hakan ne zai sa a kauce wa ramakon gayya kamar yadda aka yi a wasu jihohi, wanda zai iya kawo hargitsi a ƙasar.

Jolani dai ya yi kira ga haɗin kai da girmama juna a tsakanin ɓangarori da dama na ƙasar.

“A zahiri, yanzu gane yadda makomar ƙasar za ta kasance zai yi wahalar gaske. HTS ta bayyana shirinta na gudanar da mulkin riƙo tare da girmama juna da aminci, amma yanayin ƙasar sai a hankali a yanzu,” in ji Christopher Phillips, wanda farfesan diflomasiyya ne a jami’ar Queen Mary da ke Burtaniya, kuma masani kan Gabas ta Tsakiya.

A kudancin ƙasar, ƙungiyar ƴanbindiga – wadda ba ta taɓa amincewa da mulkin Assad ba – zai yi wahala su bi sabuwar gwamnatin.

A gabashi, akwai sauran ƴan ƙungiyar IS waɗanda suke da matuƙar hatsari, har ta kai Amurka na musu luguden wuta.

Sannan ta ɓangaren arewa maso gabas kuma, akwai ƙungiyar ƙurdawa da ke samun goyon bayan Amurka.

Farfesa Joseph Daher, malami a jami’ar Lausanne da ke Switzerland, kuma marubucin littafin ‘Syria After the Uprisings’, ya ce da wahala a iya samar da haɗaɗɗiyar ƙasar Syria a yanzu.

Daher da wasu masanan suna ganin zai yi wahala, inda suka ce tun farko jagoran ƴantawayen ya fara maganganu masu karo da juna.

“Da farko Jonali ya ce firaministan tsohuwar gwamnatin ne zai jagoranci gwamnatin riƙo, amma daga baya sai ya sanar da sanar da Mohammed al-Bashir a matsayin firaministan.”

Sai dai, duk da haka, Daher ya yi amannar HTS za ta sha wahalar iya riƙe ƙasar, “duk da ƙoƙarinta na jawo kowa a tafi tare.”

2. Gwamnatin HTS mai cikakken iko

Ƴangudun hijira na Syria suna komawa ƙasar daga maƙwabtaka irin su Turkiyya, inda suke fatan ƙasar za ta gyaru

A makonnin da suka gabata, Isra’ila ta ƙaddamar da hare-hare a kadarorin soji na Syria, inda ta tabbatar da cewa sojojinta suna aiki na musamman a ƙasar, kuma sun tsallake yankin raba-gardama ba tuddan golan.

Ta ce ta kai ɗaruruwan hare-hare tun bayan da Assad ta tsere, kuma sun “tarwatsa ma’adinar makaman ƙasar, sannan firamistan ƙasar, Benjamin Netanyahu ya gargaɗi ƴantawayen da su hana Iran “sake kafa kanta” a ƙasar.

“Yanzu da aka kifar da gwamnatin Assad, ya kamata a cire wa ƙasar takunkumin da aka ƙaƙaba mata. Ina tunanin yana da kyau tarayyar turai da Amurka su ƙara harkokin inganta tattalin arziki da taimakon gaggawa a ƙasar,” in ji Daher.

Gwamnonin jihohi sun amince da kafa ‘yan sanda na jiha domin shawo kan matsalar tsaro a kasar

Gwamnonin jihohin kasar nan 36 sun amince da kafa ‘yan sandan jihohi domin shawo kan matsalar rashin tsaro da ke addabar kasar.

Wannan dai na daga cikin kudurorin Majalisar Tattalin Arzikin Kasa (NEC) da mataimakin shugaban kasa Kashim Shettima ya jagoranta a fadar shugaban kasa da ke Abuja ranar Alhamis.

‘Yan sandan jihohi na daya daga cikin shirye-shiryen da gwamnati ta gabatar na daukar ma’aikata a yunkurin da ake yi na magance kalubalen rashin tsaro da kasar ke fama da shi.

A taron NEC na karshe a watan Nuwamba, jihohi uku da suka hada da Adamawa, Kebbi, da Kwara-tare da babban birnin tarayya, ba su gabatar da rahotonsu ba.

Gwamna Sani ya tabbatar da cewa rahotannin jahohin na nan a ciki, inda duk jihohin banda FCT suka kammala gabatar da jawabansu.

Da yake yi wa manema labarai jawabi bayan kammala taron, Gwamnan Jihar Kaduna Uba Sani ya ce, “Daya daga cikin tattaunawar da muka yi a taron hukumar zabe shi ne batun samar da ‘yan sandan jihar. Kamar yadda kuka sani, akwai wani jawabi da Jihohi suka gabatar game da kafa ‘yan sandan Jiha.”

Sai dai gwamnan ya kuma bayyana cewa sakatariyar hukumar zabe ta kasa ta himmatu wajen kara jan hankalin masu ruwa da tsaki kafin taron majalisar na watan Janairu, inda za a gabatar da cikakken rahoto.

Gwamna Sani ya bayyana cewa tattaunawar da aka yi a taron ta ta’allaka ne kan sabbin bayanai dangane da abubuwan da jihohi suka gabatar na samar da ‘yan sandan jihohi.

Ya jaddada cewa jihohi da dama sun amince da bukatar jami’an ‘yan sanda da ke karkashin kulawar jihohi saboda kalubalen tsaro na musamman da yankuna daban-daban ke fuskanta da kuma gazawar da ke tattare da tsarin tsaron kasa a halin yanzu.

Ya kuma bayyana cewa majalisar ta yanke shawarar dage zamanta na karshe a kan lamarin har zuwa taron ta na gaba, mai yiwuwa a gudanar da shi a watan Janairu.

Ya kara da cewa jinkirin da aka samu shine baiwa sakatariyar hukumar zabe damar hadawa tare da gabatar da cikakken rahoto bisa ga bayanan da aka samu.

Bugu da ƙari, ana shirin ƙarin haɗin gwiwar masu ruwa da tsaki don daidaita shawarwarin kafin a yanke shawara ta ƙarshe.

Yunkurin neman ‘yan sandan jihohi ya samu karbuwa a ‘yan watannin nan, yayin da jihohin ke fama da matsalar rashin tsaro, wanda ya ta’azzara ga dimbin wuraren da ba gwamnati ba, da kuma rashin isassun jami’ai a hukumomin tsaro da ake da su.

Gwamna Sani ya bayyana wadannan kalubalen, inda ya bayyana cewa, tsarin aikin ‘yan sanda da aka karkasa, zai baiwa jihohi damar daidaita matakan tsaro daidai da bukatunsu na musamman, ta yadda za a inganta lafiyar ‘yan kasa baki daya.

“A yau kusan jihohi 36 ne suka gabatar da bukatar kafa ‘yan sandan jahohi a Najeriya kuma zan iya cewa daga abin da ake da shi kusan yawancin jihohin sun amince da kafa ‘yan sandan jihohi a Najeriya.

Amma a yau majalisar ta yanke shawarar janye tattaunawar har zuwa zaman majalisa na gaba, saboda akwai bukatar mu fitar da rahoto daga sakatariyar kuma bayan rahoton za a fara tattaunawa a taron na gaba da hukumar zabe ta kasa za ta yi a watan Janairu. .

Ba wannan kadai ba, akwai kuma wani kuduri a taron hukumar zaben da ya gabata, wanda a yau Sakatariyar ta kuma amince da cewa za a ci gaba da tuntubar masu ruwa da tsaki bayan taron da kuma shawarwarin mambobin hukumar. ;

Don haka abin da muke cewa a nan shi ne, jihohi 36 ne suka gabatar da nasu ra’ayi, kuma jihohi da dama sun amince da kafa ‘yan sandan jihohi, duba da yadda kusan kowace jiha ta ke da banbancin ta ta fuskar matsalar da muke fama da ita ta rashin tsaro. jihohin mu.

“Sanin sarai cewa muna da sararin da ba a gwamnati ba a Najeriya, sannan kuma muna da gibi mai yawa ta fuskar yawan takalman da ke kasa, duba da yadda jami’an tsaro da dama, ‘yan sanda, sojoji da sauran su. sauran jami’an tsaro da abin ya shafa ba su da jami’an da za su rufe dukkan wuraren da ba gwamnati ba, dalilin da ya sa yawancin mu muka amince cewa kafa ‘yan sandan jihohi a Najeriya shi ne hanyar da za a bi wajen magance matsalar rashin tsaro a kasarmu.” Inji Sani.