Gwamnatin tarayya ta yi watsi da shirin ciyo bashin cikin gida 2024 na naira tiriliyan 4

A daidai lokacin da shugaban kasa Bola Tinubu ke shirin gabatar wa majalisar dokokin kasar a gobe, kasafin kudin kasar na 2025 mai cike da dimbin kudade ta hanyar rance, gwamnatin tarayya ta shirya yin watsi da shirin ciyo bashin cikin gida na shekarar 2024 da Naira Tiriliyan 4, kimanin kashi 67 cikin 100 sama da kasafin kudin kasar. kasafin kudi.

Binciken Financial Vanguard ya nuna cewa gwamnatin tarayya ta ciyo bashin Naira Tiriliyan 8.93 daga hannun masu zuba jari na cikin gida a cikin watanni goma sha daya daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba, 11M’24, sabanin Naira tiriliyan 6 da aka tsara na tsawon shekara. Vanguard

Tare da wannan yanayin da sauran ayyukan rancen da ake aiwatarwa a halin yanzu, FG na iya ƙarasa rancen Naira tiriliyan 10 a shekarar 2024, kashi 67 cikin ɗari sama da abin da aka sa a gaba na shekara.

A halin da ake ciki, wadannan na zuwa ne bayan shirin FG na samar da gibin kasafin kudin 2025 tare da rancen gida da waje wanda ya kai Naira tiriliyan 9.22, kashi 18% sama da Naira tiriliyan 7.808 na shekarar 2024.

Kasafin kasafin 2025 kamar yadda rahoton Ma’aikatar Kasafin Kudi da Tsare Tattalin Arziki ta Tarayya ya bayyana, za a ba da shi ne ta hanyar sabbin rancen waje da na cikin gida na Naira tiriliyan 9.22, da Naira biliyan 312.33 daga kudaden da ake samu na kamfanoni, da kuma Naira Tiriliyan 3.55 na fashe-fashe a kan kamfanoni da dama da ake da su. / lamuni masu alaƙa da ayyukan biyu. Za a ba da rancen kuɗi ne ta hanyar rancen cikin gida, la’akari da kunkuntar taga don samun kuɗin waje.”

cikakkun bayanai na 11M’24 FG Securities

Takaddar bayanai daga ofishin kula da basussuka, DMO, da babban bankin Najeriya, CBN, ya nuna cewa a kashi na uku, Q3,24 Gwamnatin Tarayya ta ciyo bashin Naira Tiriliyan 2.134 daga hannun masu zuba jari a cikin gida ta hanyar asusun ajiyar kudi na Najeriya, NTBs, FGN. Bonds, FGN Savings Bonds.

Ciyo bashin ta hanyar gwanjon NTBs da CBN ya yi ya kai Naira tiriliyan 1.181, yayin da gwamnatin tarayya Bonds Savings ya kai Naira biliyan 939.246 da kuma Naira biliyan 14.

Wani bincike da aka yi ya nuna cewa a watan Oktoba da Nuwamban bana gwamnatin tarayya ta ciyo bashin Naira biliyan 774.953 ta hanyar NTB; Asusun Tallafawa gwamnatin tarayya na Naira biliyan 635.752 da kuma asusun ajiyar wanda ya kai Naira biliyan 7.152.

A halin da ake ciki kuma, bisa ga bayanan baya-bayan nan da hukumar ta DMO ta fitar, asusun gwamnatin tarayya na cikin rabin farkon shekarar, HI’24, ya kai naira tiriliyan 66.957, wanda ya nuna karuwar kashi 38.6% daga naira tiriliyan 48.314 a HI’23. .

Babban bankin Najeriya ta hanyar NTBs ya tashi zuwa N11.8 tiriliyan a HI’24 daga Naira Tiriliyan 4.7 a H1’23 kuma ya kai kashi 17.64 % na rancen da FG ta samu.

Lamuni da gwamnatin tarayya ta samu ta hanyar gwanjon Bondo na wata-wata, wanda ya kai kashi 78.13% na jimlar rancen da FG ta karbo a lokacin, ya karu zuwa Naira tiriliyan 52.315 a HI’24 daga Naira tiriliyan 41.722 a HI’23.

Lamunin da gwamnatin tarayya ta samu ta hanyar Sukuk Bonds, wanda ya kai kashi 1.6% na jimlar rancen cikin gida na FG a cikin wannan lokacin, ya kai Naira tiriliyan 1.092 a HI’24 daga Naira biliyan 742 a H1’23.

Lamuni na cikin gida na gwamnatin tarayya ta Savings Bonds ya kai kashi 0.08% na jimlar rancen da gwamnatin tarayya ta samu a tsawon lokacin, wanda kuma ya karu zuwa Naira biliyan 55.196 a H1’24 daga Naira tiriliyan 30.704 a H1’23.

Hankalin masu nazari

A halin da ake ciki, manazarta da masana tattalin arziki sun bayyana cewa, a cikin wasu abubuwa, sama da kashi 49 cikin 100 na rancen gida da gwamnatin tarayya ta yi a cikin 11M’24, ya biyo bayan martanin da masu zuba jari suka yi kan yawan ribar da aka samu a lokacin da aka samu karuwar maki 875 a cikin gida. Manufofin Kuɗi, MPR, ta CBN.

Daga kashi 18.75 cikin 100 a watan Fabrairu, CBN ya ci gaba da daga darajar MPR zuwa kashi 27.5 cikin 100 a watan Nuwamban bana.

Sakamakon haka, yawan riba a kan 364-Dys NTBs ya tashi zuwa 22.93 bisa dari a cikin Nuwamba daga 12 bisa dari a farkon shekara, yana wakiltar maki 11.91 na karuwa daga 4.44% a H1’23.

Hakazalika, matsakaicin adadin ribar kan gwamnatin tarayya Savings Bond na shekara biyu mai haya ya tashi zuwa 17.483% Disamba 2024 daga 12.287% a cikin Disamba 2023.

Gwamnatin tarayya ta riga ta kasance cikin tarkon bashi, yana buƙatar sabon bashi don biyan bukatun da ake da su. Wannan ya bar albarkatun kuɗi kaɗan don ci gaban tattalin arziki. Idan tara bashi ta FGN ya ci gaba da ci gaba, gazawar sarki na iya zuwa kusa.

Har ila yau, muna sa ran ganin haɓakar ƙimar biyan bashi, haɓaka mafi girma da haɓaka rancen cikin gida.”

Shi ma da yake magana da Financial Vanguard kan lamarin, Victor Chiazor, Shugaban Bincike da Zuba Jari a Fidelity Securities Limited, FSL Securities Limited, ya ce: “Bayan lamuni da gwamnati ta yi ya haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

Bugu da kari akwai tasiri kai tsaye kan farashin canji. Hakanan, akwai tasirin cunkoson jama’a don rancen kamfanoni masu zaman kansu. Kamar yadda yake, ba kasuwancin da yawa ba za su iya yin lamuni a ƙimar riba mai girma.

A cewar gwamnatin tarayya, ana sa ran za a samar da gibin kasafin ne ta hanyar hada-hadar rancen cikin gida (N6.04 trillion), rancen kasashen waje (N1.77 trillion), raguwar lamuni masu yawa/bangaren biyu (N941.19), da kuma kudaden shiga na kamfanoni wanda ya kai Naira biliyan 298.49.

Najeriya ta fitar da wutar lantarkin da ya kai naira biliyan 181.62 cikin watanni 9

Najeriya ta fitar da wutar lantarkin da darajarsa ta kai N181.62bn daga watan Janairu zuwa Satumba na shekarar 2024, kamar yadda nazarin bayanai daga Hukumar Kididdiga ta Kasa (NBS) ta nuna.

A rubu’in farko na shekarar 2024 an fitar da N58.65bn zuwa kasashen Togo, Benin da Jamhuriyar Nijar, sai kuma N63.28bn a kwata na biyu sai kuma N59.69bn a kashi na uku.

Hakan dai na faruwa ne duk da cewa hukumar kula da hasken wutar lantarki ta Najeriya NERC ta sanya hannu a kan fitar da wutar lantarkin zuwa wadannan kasashe a watan Mayun da ya gabata a wani yunkuri na bunkasa kasuwannin cikin gida.

A cikin wannan tsari, hukumar ta ba da umarnin cewa, bai kamata a rika isar da wutar lantarki ga makwabtan Najeriya da su wuce kashi shida cikin dari na adadin wutar lantarkin a kowane lokaci ba, inda ta bayyana cewa tun bayan aiwatar da karin odar a watan Afrilun 2024, hukumar ta lura da samar da wutar lantarki mafi inganci. aika ayyuka ayyuka.

A cikin takardar da aka yi wa alama: ‘Odar wucin gadi kan ayyukan aika tsarin watsawa, samar da kan iyaka da batutuwa masu alaƙa’, ya bayyana cewa umarnin zai ɗauki tsawon watanni shida a matakin farko kafin sake dubawa.

Umarnin NERC mai kwanan wata 29 ga Afrilu, 2024, wanda ya fara aiki daga ranar 1 ga Mayu, 2024, Shugaban Hukumar, Sanusi Garba, da Mataimakin Shugaban, Musiliu Oseni ne suka sanya wa hannu.

Ya yi iƙirarin cewa wannan ya ɓata ikon Kamfanonin Rarraba (Discos) don isar da saƙon Tariff ɗin Sabis ɗin Sabis (SBT) ya ƙaddamar da matakan sabis don ƙarshen amfani da abokan ciniki tare da tasiri mai mahimmanci akan kudaden shiga na kasuwa.

NERC ta ce dogaron da ma’aikatan tsarin ke da shi kawai kan iyakance kayan aikin Discos wajen tafiyar da rashin daidaituwar ma’auni na yau da kullun tare da ba da fifiko ga masu cin kasuwa na kasa da kasa da kuma masu cancantar kwastomomi (ECs) ba su da inganci ko daidaito.

Ya zuwa yanzu dai wannan al’adar da ma’aikacin ya yi amfani da shi wajen sarrafa samar da tsararru, in ji ta, ya haifar da wahala ga abokan cinikin Discos, wadanda suka hada da masana’antu, kasuwanci, da kuma zama, musamman a lokacin bukatu kololuwa tare da ba da fifiko ga sauran kwangiloli na kasashen biyu, gami da fitar da kayayyaki zuwa abokan ciniki na kasa da kasa. .

Hukumar ta lura cewa kwangiloli na kasa da kasa da na kasashen biyu a halin yanzu tare da Kamfanonin Generation (Gencos) sun dogara ne akan mafi kyawu kuma tare da sharuɗɗan da ba su da yawa waɗanda galibi suna ƙasa da mafi ƙarancin ƙa’idodin kwangilar da ake gudanarwa a masana’antar.